Unemployment at 4.9% as vacancies fall to lowest level in more than five years

The UK unemployment rate for people aged 16 and over was estimated at 4.9% in April to June 2026, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). That is up 0.2 percentage points on the year but down 0.1 percentage points on the quarter.

The employment rate for people aged 16 to 64 was 75.1%, down 0.2 percentage points on the year and up 0.1 percentage points on the quarter. The economic inactivity rate for the same age group was 20.9%, largely unchanged on both the year and the quarter.

Liz McKeown, director of economic statistics at the ONS, explains: "The labour market picture is little changed overall, with some softening still evident.

"Employment, unemployment and inactivity rates have all remained steady, while the number of employees on payroll fell slightly in the latest quarter."

The number of payrolled employees fell by 78,000, or 0.3%, between June 2025 and June 2026, based on administrative data from HM Revenue and Customs. Over the quarter to June, the figure fell by 37,000.

The early estimate for July 2026 put the number of payrolled employees at 30.3 million, down 94,000 on the year and down 13,000 on the month. The ONS notes that July figures are provisional and are likely to be revised when more data are received.

Vacancies and pay

Early estimates for May to July 2026 suggest vacancies fell by 6,000, or 0.8%, to 707,000 compared with February to April. Outside the pandemic period, the last time there were 707,000 or fewer vacancies was September to November 2014.

McKeown adds: "Vacancies remain broadly flat, though a small fall in the latest period puts them at the lowest level in more than five years. The latest decrease was driven mainly by smaller businesses, which cite labour and operating costs as reasons for not hiring new staff or replacing leavers."

Annual growth in average earnings in Great Britain was 3.5% for regular pay, excluding bonuses, and 4.1% for total pay in April to June 2026. Regular pay growth was 6.1% in the public sector and 2.8% in the private sector, with public sector figures still affected by variations in the timing of pay awards this year.

Adjusted for inflation using CPIH, annual growth was 0.5% for regular pay and 1.1% for total pay. Using CPI, the figures were 0.7% and 1.3%.

The UK Claimant Count for July 2026 fell on both the month and the year to an estimated 1.665 million.

What it means for your finances

Pay is still rising slightly faster than prices, so while earnings are growing in real terms, the difference is narrow and depends on which inflation measure is used.

Labour market data is one of the inputs the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) weighs when setting the base rate, alongside inflation. The base rate in turn feeds through to mortgage costs, savings rates and the wider financial and economic backdrop.

None of this calls for a change of course on its own. If your circumstances have changed, or you have any questions or concerns, don't hesitate to get in touch.

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