Bank of England holds base at 3.75%

The Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has held its base rate at 3.75% after a narrow 5-4 vote in favour.

Four members of the MPC voted for a cut amid worsening economic conditions for the UK economy.

In its decision it signalled the possibility of quicker rate cuts this year, however. This was largely owing to its own forecasts suggesting inflation will fall faster than expected in the Spring.

Commenting on the decision, BoE governor Andrew Bailey commented: “We now think that inflation will fall back to about 2% by the Spring. That’s good news.

“We need to make sure inflation stays there, so we’ve held rates unchanged at 3.75% today. All going well, there should be scope for some further reduction in bank rate this year.”

The BoE has however downgraded its forecast for the UK economy, predicting GDP growth would be just 0.9% this year, down from 1.2%.

Mortgage rates tick up

In anticipation of the BoE’s decision to hold rates, typical mortgage rates on offer have ticked up after months of falling.

Mortgage rates are affected by the base rate but are more beholden to the wider ‘swap rate’ market which is how banks, building societies and other lenders finance their mortgage deals and lending.

Moneyfacts finance expert Rachel Springall said: “Fixed rate increases dominated the mortgage market this week, particularly among the largest high street banks, which included Barclays, HSBC, NatWest, and Santander.

“However, it’s not all bad news as there were still some sizable reductions made by building societies and some new higher loan-to-value deals entering the arena.

“Lenders have been catching up to pass on increases in response to unsettled swap rates from a couple of weeks ago. However, shorter-term swaps appear to be moving back down again, whereas longer-term swaps are not quite following the same path. These moves could cause a diversion in the pricing between different mortgage terms in the weeks ahead.”

Rate picture ahead

With the BoE signalling it could see lower inflation more quickly and slowing GDP, the market is now anticipating quicker rate cuts.

The consensus among forecasters is now for a cut in March or April, followed by another later this year.

However, as mentioned before, the swap rate market has a more direct impact than the base rate alone, meaning anyone looking for a deal shouldn’t wait for help from the BoE.

It is important to consider your options for mortgage deals, whether as a first-time buyer or remortgaging, carefully. Speaking to a qualified broker is essential as a part of this process.

And more widely if you are considering your long-term finances as you plan around your property, a financial planner can help you ensure your goals are on track for success.

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